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Volume 57: Issue 2 (April 2002)


Front Matter

Pages: i-iv  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2002.tb00635.x  |  Cited by: 0


Paul A. Samuelson: Fellow of the American Finance Association 2002

Pages: v-vii  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2002.tb00636.x  |  Cited by: 0


SMITH BREEDEN AND BRATTLE GROUP PRIZES 2001

Pages: viii-viii  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00433  |  Cited by: 0


Back Matter

Pages: ix-xxviii  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2002.tb00639.x  |  Cited by: 0


Limited Arbitrage in Equity Markets

Pages: 551-584  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00434  |  Cited by: 111

Mark Mitchell, Todd Pulvino, Erik Stafford

We examine 82 situations where the market value of a company is less than its subsidiary. These situations imply arbitrage opportunities, providing an ideal setting to study the risks and market frictions that prevent arbitrageurs from immediately forcing prices to fundamental values. For 30 percent of the sample, the link between the parent and its subsidiary is severed before the relative value discrepancy is corrected. Furthermore, returns to a specialized arbitrageur would be 50 percent larger if the path to convergence was smooth rather than as observed. Uncertainty about the distribution of returns and characteristics of the risks limits arbitrage.


Rational Momentum Effects

Pages: 585-608  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00435  |  Cited by: 143

Timothy C. Johnson

Momentum effects in stock returns need not imply investor irrationality, heterogeneous information, or market frictions. A simple, single‐firm model with a standard pricing kernel can produce such effects when expected dividend growth rates vary over time. An enhanced model, under which persistent growth rate shocks occur episodically, can match many of the features documented by the empirical research. The same basic mechanism could potentially account for underreaction anomalies in general.


Managerial Opportunism? Evidence from Directors' and Officers' Insurance Purchases

Pages: 609-636  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00436  |  Cited by: 64

John M. R. Chalmers, Larry Y. Dann, Jarrad Harford


The Equity Premium

Pages: 637-659  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00437  |  Cited by: 362

Eugene F. Fama, Kenneth R. French

We estimate the equity premium using dividend and earnings growth rates to measure the expected rate of capital gain. Our estimates for 1951 to 2000, 2.55 percent and 4.32 percent, are much lower than the equity premium produced by the average stock return, 7.43 percent. Our evidence suggests that the high average return for 1951 to 2000 is due to a decline in discount rates that produces a large unexpected capital gain. Our main conclusion is that the average stock return of the last half‐century is a lot higher than expected.


Leaning for the Tape: Evidence of Gaming Behavior in Equity Mutual Funds

Pages: 661-693  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00438  |  Cited by: 103

Mark M. Carhart, Ron Kaniel, David K. Musto, Adam V. Reed

We present evidence that fund managers inflate quarter‐end portfolio prices with last‐minute purchases of stocks already held. The magnitude of price inflation ranges from 0.5 percent per year for large‐cap funds to well over 2 percent for small‐cap funds. We find that the cross section of inflation matches the cross section of incentives from the flow/performance relation, that a surge of trading in the quarter's last minutes coincides with a surge in equity prices, and that the inflation is greatest for the stocks held by funds with the most incentive to inflate, controlling for the stocks' size and performance.


Does Corporate Diversification Destroy Value?

Pages: 695-720  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00439  |  Cited by: 269

John R. Graham, Michael L. Lemmon, Jack G. Wolf

We analyze several hundred firms that expand via acquisition and/or increase their number of business segments. The combined market reaction to acquisition announcements is positive but acquiring firm excess values decline after the diversifying event. Much of the excess value reduction occurs because our sample firms acquire already discounted business units, and not because diversifying destroys value. This implies that the standard assumption that conglomerate divisions can be benchmarked to typical stand‐alone firms should be carefully reconsidered. We also show that excess value does not decline when firms increase their number of business segments because of pure reporting changes.


Do Conglomerate Firms Allocate Resources Inefficiently Across Industries? Theory and Evidence

Pages: 721-767  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00440  |  Cited by: 260

Vojislav Maksimovic, Gordon Phillips

We develop a profit‐maximizing neoclassical model of optimal firm size and growth across different industries based on differences in industry fundamentals and firm productivity. In the model, a conglomerate discount is consistent with profit maximization. The model predicts how conglomerate firms will allocate resources across divisions over the business cycle and how their responses to industry shocks will differ from those of single‐segment firms. Using plant level data, we find that growth and investment of conglomerate and single‐segment firms is related to fundamental industry factors and individual segment level productivity. The majority of conglomerate firms exhibit growth across industry segments that is consistent with optimal behavior.


A Rational Expectations Model of Financial Contagion

Pages: 769-799  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00441  |  Cited by: 303

Laura E. Kodres, Matthew Pritsker

We develop a multiple asset rational expectations model of asset prices to explain financial market contagion. Although the model allows contagion through several channels, our focus is on contagion through cross‐market rebalancing. Through this channel, investors transmit idiosyncratic shocks from one market to others by adjusting their portfolios' exposures to shared macroeconomic risks. The pattern and severity of financial contagion depends on markets' sensitivities to shared macroeconomic risk factors, and on the amount of information asymmetry in each market. The model can generate contagion in the absence of news, as well as between markets that do not directly share macroeconomic risks.


The Volatility and Price Sensitivities of Managerial Stock Option Portfolios and Corporate Hedging

Pages: 801-813  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00442  |  Cited by: 140

John D. Knopf, Jouahn Nam, John H. Thornton

We use estimates of the Black—Scholes sensitivity of managers' stock option portfolios to stock return volatility and the sensitivity of managers' stock and stock option portfolios to stock price to test the relationship between managers' risk preferences and hedging activities. We find that as the sensitivity of managers' stock and stock option portfolios to stock price increases, firms tend to hedge more. However, as the sensitivity of managers' stock option portfolios to stock return volatility increases, firms tend to hedge less.


Do Firms Hedge in Response to Tax Incentives?

Pages: 815-839  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00443  |  Cited by: 274

John R. Graham, Daniel A. Rogers

There are two tax incentives for corporations to hedge: to increase debt capacity and interest tax deductions, and to reduce expected tax liability if the tax function is convex. We test whether these incentives affect the extent of corporate hedging with derivatives. Using an explicit measure of tax function convexity, we find no evidence that firms hedge in response to tax convexity. Our analysis does, however, indicate that firms hedge to increase debt capacity, with increased tax benefits averaging 1.1 percent of firm value. Our results also indicate that firms hedge because of expected financial distress costs and firm size.


Liquidity Provision and the Organizational Form of NYSE Specialist Firms

Pages: 841-869  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00444  |  Cited by: 19

Jay F. Coughenour, Daniel N. Deli

We examine the influence of NYSE specialist firm organizational form on the nature of liquidity provision. We compare closely held firms whose specialists provide liquidity with their own capital to widely held firms whose specialists provide liquidity with diffusely owned capital. We argue that specialists using their own capital have a greater incentive and ability to reduce adverse selection costs, but face a greater cost of capital. Differences in the proportion of spreads due to adverse selection costs, large trade frequency, the sensitivity between depth and spreads, and price stabilization support this argument.


The Long-run Performance Following Dividend Initiations and Resumptions: Underreaction or Product of Chance?

Pages: 871-900  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00445  |  Cited by: 60

Rodney D. Boehme, Sorin M. Sorescu

We examine the long‐term stock performance following dividend initiations and resumptions from 1927 to 1998. We show that postannouncement abnormal returns are significantly positive for equally weighted calendar time portfolios, but become insignificant when the portfolios are value weighted. Moreover, the equally weighted results are not robust across subsamples. We also document postannouncement reductions in the risk factor loadings of underlying stocks. Cross‐sectionally, these reductions are negatively related to the contemporaneous price drifts, suggesting the price drifts may be a sample‐specific result of chance. Our results underscore the importance of testing for changes in risk loadings in future long‐term event studies.


Where DoesState StreetLead? A First Look at Finance Patents, 1971 to 2000

Pages: 901-930  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00446  |  Cited by: 44

Josh Lerner

This paper empirically examines patents for financial formulas and methods, whose patentability was recently confirmed in the litigation between State Street Bank and Trust and Signature Financial Group. The number of such filings and awards has been accelerating. Patent filings by academics have been very infrequent, which appears to be a consequence of a lack of awareness or interest on the part of faculty members, rather than any fundamental unsuitability of their research for patenting. The failure to cite academic research in this area appears to be problematic and may reflect patent examiners' limited exposure to finance research and patents.


Competition, Market Structure, and Bid-Ask Spreads in Stock Option Markets

Pages: 931-958  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00447  |  Cited by: 66

Stewart Mayhew

This paper examines the effects of competition and market structure on equity option bid‐ask spreads from 1986 to 1997. Options listed on multiple exchanges have narrower spreads than those listed on a single exchange, but the difference diminishes as option volume increases. Option spreads become wider when a competing exchange delists the option. Options traded under a “Designated Primary Marketmaker” (DPM) have narrower quoted spreads than those traded in a traditional open outcry crowd. Effective spreads are found to be slightly narrower under the DPM than in the crowd, but only since 1992, and only on low‐volume options.


Risk Aversion, Transparency, and Market Performance

Pages: 959-984  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00448  |  Cited by: 15

M. Ángeles De Frutos, Carolina Manzano

Using a model of market making with inventories based on Biais (1993), we find that investors obtain more favorable execution prices, and they hence invest more, when markets are fragmented. In our model, risk‐averse dealers use less aggressive price strategies in more transparent markets (centralized) because quote dissemination alleviates uncertainty about the prices quoted by other dealers and, hence, reduces the need to compete aggressively for order flow. Further, we show that the move toward greater transparency (centralization) may have detrimental effects on liquidity and welfare.


Momentum, Business Cycle, and Time-varyingExpected Returns

Pages: 985-1019  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00449  |  Cited by: 318

Tarun Chordia, Lakshmanan Shivakumar

A growing number of researchers argue that time‐series patterns in returns are due to investor irrationality and thus can be translated into abnormal profits. Continuation of short‐term returns or momentum is one such pattern that has defied any rational explanation and is at odds with market efficiency. This paper shows that profits to momentum strategies can be explained by a set of lagged macroeconomic variables and payoffs to momentum strategies disappear once stock returns are adjusted for their predictability based on these macroeconomic variables. Our results provide a possible role for time‐varying expected returns as an explanation for momentum payoffs.


Book Reviews

Pages: 1021-1030  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00450  |  Cited by: 0

Brennan, Michael J. Financial Markets and Corporate Finance: Selected Papers of Michael J. Brennan


Book Reviews

Pages: 1021-1030  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.t01-1-00450  |  Cited by: 0


Joint Editorial

Pages: 1031-1032  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00451  |  Cited by: 2


MISCELLANEA

Pages: 1033-1034  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00452  |  Cited by: 0


ANNOUNCEMENTS

Pages: 1035-1038  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2002.tb00637.x  |  Cited by: 0


ASSOCIATION MEETINGS

Pages: 1039-1039  |  Published: 4/2002  |  DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2002.tb00638.x  |  Cited by: 0