Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk

Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk

  • JOSEF LAKONISHOK
  • ANDREI SHLEIFER
  • ROBERT W. VISHNY

Article first published online: 30th April 2012 DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1994.tb04772.x

Abstract


For many years, scholars and investment professionals have argued that value strategies outperform the market. These value strategies call for buying stocks that have low prices relative to earnings, dividends, book assets, or other measures of fundamental value. While there is some agreement that value strategies produce higher returns, the interpretation of why they do so is more controversial. This article provides evidence that value strategies yield higher returns because these strategies exploit the suboptimal behavior of the typical investor and not because these strategies are fundamentally riskier.

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